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Topic summary · Statistics (S1)

Regression summary

Least-squares regression fits y=a+bxy=a+bx for prediction near the observed data range.

Files: S1-Regression.pdf · S1-Regression answers.pdf · free public downloads · diagrams in the PDFs

Key learning points

  • The regression line of yy on xx minimises vertical residuals.
  • Interpret the gradient as change in yy per unit xx.
  • Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation.
  • Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram.

Worked example 1 — Extrapolation

Why avoid predicting far outside the data range?

Working

the linear pattern may not continue\text{the linear pattern may not continue}

Extrapolation is unreliable.

Worked example 2 — The regression line of on minimises vertical residuals

Use this method from the Regression sheet: The regression line of yy on xx minimises vertical residuals.

Working

Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.\text{Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.}

Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.

Worked example 3 — Interpret the gradient as change in per unit

Use this method from the Regression sheet: Interpret the gradient as change in yy per unit xx.

Working

Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.\text{Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.}

Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.

Worked example 4 — Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation

Use this method from the Regression sheet: Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation.

Working

Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.\text{Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.}

Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.

Worked example 5 — Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram

Use this method from the Regression sheet: Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram.

Working

Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.\text{Attempt a matching question on the sheet, then check the Answers PDF.}

Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.

Scaffolded Learning Sheet and answers (PDFs)

This page is a short, searchable overview for revision and search engines. Use the Scaffolded Learning Sheet first, then the Answers PDF for a full written solution. The printable PDFs remain the main classroom resource.

Regression summary — worksheet & answers PDF