Topic summary · Statistics (S1)
Regression summary
Least-squares regression fits for prediction near the observed data range.
Files: S1-Regression.pdf · S1-Regression answers.pdf · free public downloads · diagrams in the PDFs
Key learning points
- The regression line of on minimises vertical residuals.
- Interpret the gradient as change in per unit .
- Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation.
- Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram.
Worked example 1 — Extrapolation
Why avoid predicting far outside the data range?
Working
Extrapolation is unreliable.
Worked example 2 — The regression line of on minimises vertical residuals
Use this method from the Regression sheet: The regression line of on minimises vertical residuals.
Working
Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.
Worked example 3 — Interpret the gradient as change in per unit
Use this method from the Regression sheet: Interpret the gradient as change in per unit .
Working
Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.
Worked example 4 — Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation
Use this method from the Regression sheet: Prefer interpolation; avoid reckless extrapolation.
Working
Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.
Worked example 5 — Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram
Use this method from the Regression sheet: Judge fit with residuals and the scatter diagram.
Working
Each key learning point matches a question type on the printable worksheet.
Scaffolded Learning Sheet and answers (PDFs)
This page is a short, searchable overview for revision and search engines. Use the Scaffolded Learning Sheet first, then the Answers PDF for a full written solution. The printable PDFs remain the main classroom resource.
